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Analysis & Forecast of Heavy Truck Market in Oct. 2012 III

Date:2013-01-09 Author:Lily Source:www.chinatrucks.com

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3. Semi trailer tractors again shows in negative sale growth in Oct. 2012

 
15,103 semi trailer tractors were produced in Oct. 2012, fell by 35.44% over the same period in 2011 and grew by 17.98% compared with Sept. 2012. And 15,871 semi trailer tractors were sold, fell by 52.93% over the same period in 2011 and grew by 19.03% compared with Sept. 2012.


From January to October 2012, production totaled 152,325, fell by 28.14%. Sales totaled 158,042, which fell by 28.82% over the same period of 2011 (222,046).

 

Chart Four: Monthly sale volumes & growth of semi trailer tractors in 2011 & 2012
Chart Four: Monthly sale volumes & growth of semi trailer tractors in 2011 & 2012
 

Part Three:Chart of heavy truck market share


From January to October 2012, the heavy truck market changed a lot:


Table One: Market Share of Heavy Truck Market from January to October, 2012

 

Market Share of Heavy Truck Market from January to October, 2012
Items  
Sale Volume in Oct.  
Total Sales in Jan.-Oct.   
Sequential Growth 
Year-on-Year Growth in Oct. 
 Year-on-Year Growth in Jan.-Oct. 
Market Share in Oct.  
Overall Sales of Heavy Truck Market
43640
535928
1.93
-23.41
-30.34
100
1
Dongfeng Auto
8558
112653
-1.82
-26.21
-30.48
19.61
2
CNHTC (Sinotruck)
6190
91785
-10.38
-25.12
-28.02
14.18
3
FAW 
8333
89131
13.25
-37.16
-35.71
19.09
4
Shaanxi Auto Group
5548
70553
15.75
5.52
-18.4
12.71
5
 Beiqi Foton 
6582
71907
-5.21
-11.37
-23.17
15.08
6
North Benz 
1624
21092
-2.81
34.77
-61.89
3.72
7
 JAC
2179
22079
3.18
-25.47
-41.29
4.99
8
SAIC-IVECO Hongyan   
1190
13520
3.12
5.97
-51.24
2.73
9
CAMC 
1104
12786
5.44
-2.99
-45.21
2.53
10
Dayun Auto
578
6786
13.78
-48.35
-38.26
1.32
11
Other Companies
1754
23636
 
 
 
4.02


 
In Oct. 2012, the market share of the Dongfeng Auto, FAW, Beiqi Foton decreased much and Shaanxi Auto Group, CNHTC (Sinotruck), SAIC-IVECO Hongyan increased obviously.


Part Four:A steady trend has been seen in the heavy truck market in the Nov.-Dec. 2012


At the end of the fourth quarter, it will be annual closing the season for heavy truck markers as well as the prepared season for the 2013 truck market. This is our forecast for the Nov.-Dec. 2012 market and also our basic prediction for the fourth quarter. Prediction for the fourth quarter: Total sales in Nov.-Dec. 2012 will reach 96,400 units; Total sales in Jan.-Dec. 2012 will reach 633,256 units.

 

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